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25 Best Countries For A Comfortable Retirement

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In this article, we take a look at the 25 best countries for a comfortable retirement. You can skip our detailed analysis of the aging demographics and the resulting economic shifts and go directly to 10 Best Countries For A Comfortable Retirement

Retiree Population: By Numbers

The UN estimates suggest that there are 703 million people aged 65 years or older as of 2019, a number that is expected to jump to 1.5 billion by 2050, with every 1 in 6 individuals being a retiree. Further, the number of individuals aged 80 years or older is also expected to increase threefold in the next three decades. 

The percentage of retirees is expected to be above the global average, at 30%, in countries like Greece, Italy and South Korea, according to OECD. However, 80% of the retirement-age individuals will be living in low to middle income economies by mid century, as per figures from WHO. 

This is resulting from the decrease in birth rate, which corresponds to the expanding share of women in the workforce, and increasing life expectancy, with chances of surviving at the age of 65 nearly doubling since the late 19th century, according to UN estimates. In 2020, individuals aged 60 years and older outnumbered children younger than 5 years, according to WHO. 

Many countries are ill-prepared to deal with the economic implications of this trend, and lack the social programs that are needed for the increasing number of retirees. 

What Are the Economic Implications of the Changing Population Demographics?

One of the most obvious implications of an aging population would be the slowdown in the labor-force growth, and consequently, the GDP growth. In fact, the GDP growth in developed economies is already slowing down, in part, due to aging population.

Another factor is that the elderly de-risk their portfolios by moving from equity securities to debt securities due to their short-term horizon. 

As the ratio of equity to debt investment decreases, the stock markets around the world, particularly the growth-based companies, could see a decline. Moreover, aging individuals spend more and save less, which could lead to a rise in real interest rates. 

Further, working-age people will be paying more in taxes to support the social programs for the elderly and governments will also be borrowing more, as the ratio of workers to consumers (support ratio) falls. 

Persistent Inflation

According to IMF estimates, the support ratio is expected to fall by 0.26 percent per year between 2015-2050 in the US, 0.40 percent in other developed countries and 0.80 percent in China. Workers are deflationary, since they produce more than they consume. A falling support ratio could mean persistent inflation.