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Key Points
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The Trade Desk is down by 54% year to date, making it 2025's worst-performing Nasdaq-100 stock.
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Marvell's guidance for fiscal Q1 is for 62% revenue growth -- less than some analysts were expecting.
The Nasdaq Composite index is down by about 10% so far this year as investors remain concerned about the outlook for many businesses, particularly as President Donald Trump's tariffs pose significant risks to the U.S. economy and analysts worry that they may push the country into a recession.
The Nasdaq-100, meanwhile, is down by more than 7%. That index features the 100 most valuable non-financial stocks on the exchange, but those large caps and megacaps are not immune from the effects of a broad market sell-off.
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Two Nasdaq-100 stocks that have lost around half of their market capitalization this year are The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD) and Marvell Technology (NASDAQ: MRVL). Are they worth buying right now, or could there be more pain to come for their shareholders?
The Trade Desk
The Trade Desk has been the worst-performing stock on the Nasdaq-100 index thus far in 2025, losing more than 54% of its value since the start of the year (as of Monday). The ad tech stock was tanking even before Trump announced his sweeping tariffs in April. The company's biggest sell-off occurred in February after it reported its fourth-quarter numbers.
While revenue grew by 22% to $741 million for the period, that was below the company's own guidance figure of $756 million. On its earnings call, management said that it "stumbled due to a series of small execution missteps" and noted that restructuring efforts had resulted in changes in its reporting structure.
The market responded by punishing the stock. It's one thing when a company misses analysts' expectations, but it's quite another when it misses its own guidance, especially when there isn't an obvious way to cast the underperformance as a one-off event. In addition, a U.S. recession would put further pressure on its ad business as companies tend to slash their marketing and advertising budgets quickly in response to worsening economic conditions.
However, the company did project revenue of at least $575 million for the first three months of 2025 -- an increase of 17% from the prior-year period. It is scheduled to reveal the actual results for the quarter on May 8.
While the stock has lost about half its value this year, it's still trading at nearly 70 times trailing earnings, yet the company's growth rate is slowing. In that context, I don't think the worst is over for the stock -- it could still go a whole lot lower.