12 European Countries with the Best Economy Right Now

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In this article, we will be taking a look at the 12 European countries with the best economy right now. To skip our detailed analysis of the European economy, you can go directly to see the 5 European Countries with the Best Economy Right Now.

European Economy: Ongoing Crisis and Outlook

Europe has long been considered to be an important economic and industrial hub with some of the most advanced economies on the continent. The world has witnessed Europe’s growth over centuries with a high standard of living. As we mentioned earlier, the average annual growth rate for Europe has been 1.8%, according to data from the IMF. Following a swift post-pandemic expansion in 2021 and 2022, the European economy has lost momentum. Europe’s stability and economic growth took a massive blow with Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in early 2022 and it was the time when the economy was getting stable following a heavy hit from the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. The downside risks continue to haunt the global economic outlook. The increased tensions in Gaza and Russia’s aggression against Ukraine are major uncertainties apart from other market risks. 

2023 has been a mixed year for the European economy, suffering from an energy crisis and defying expectations for recession. The negative consequences of high gas prices, tightening monetary policy, and feeble global industrial activity have been key to the downside in the region's economy. Compared to the US economy in 2023, Europe's growth has underperformed. As per the 2023 Autumn Forecast by the European Commission, the EU and euro area GDP growth is expected to be 0.6% in 2023. For 2024, the EU GDP is expected to improve to 1.3% and is further projected to gain momentum in 2025 with a growth rate expected around 1.7%. 

On November 9, Goldman Sachs shared the 2024 outlook for the euro area. The economy is expected to get better in 2024. Analysts at Goldman Sachs expect a notable improvement in real disposable income as headline inflation continues to slow down. While nominal wage growth is projected to remain firm, which will support consumer spending. In addition, underlying inflation is also projected to normalize in 2024, as core inflation has calmed more than expected in the past few months, with sequential core inflation around 2.5%. Core inflation is projected to reach 2.7% year-over-year in mid-2024, compared to the previous forecast of 2.9%. By the end of 2024, inflation is expected to lower to 2.2% year-over-year and reach 2% by the end of 2025. 

In 2024, growth drivers are likely to vary across European countries. Germany is expected to observe growth driven by higher consumer spending, with improving real disposable income and savings rates. Analysts expect France to experience a minor rebound in real disposable income. In France, the key metric will be the normalization of the household saving rate, which has remained higher in other European countries. Whereas, in Italy, consumer spending is expected to be boosted by the reacceleration in implementation of the Recovery Fund, which should support capital expenditure. Spain should gain momentum from both continued consumption resilience and upward investment growth. As per the outlook for 2024, Germany, Italy, France, and Spain are expected to reach growth rates of 0.6%, 0.7%, 1.1%, and 1.7%, respectively.