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10 ‘pure value’ stocks favored by analysts to soar 20% to 96% over the next year

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This year’s broad price decline has led to some very low price-to-earnings valuations in the stock market.
This year’s broad price decline has led to some very low price-to-earnings valuations in the stock market. - MarketWatch photo illustration/iStockphoto

Way back on Jan. 21, we screened the S&P 500 to identify value stocks that appeared to have some characteristics of growth stocks, to help long-term investors identify potential bargains in a market that was still riding high. Now it’s time to take another look at value stocks, in light of the broad decline for the market and to help investors look beyond the day-to-day turmoil.

When we ran that previous screen, the S&P 500 SPX was up 2% for 2025, following returns of 25% in 2024 and 26.3% in 2023, all with dividends reinvested. There was some concern among investors that the large-cap U.S. benchmark index was expensive. At that time, the forward price-to-earnings ratio of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY, which tracks the index by holding all of its stocks, was 21.6 — which was 9% higher than its five-year average valuation and 18% higher than its 10-year average valuation. That ratio is the exchange-traded fund’s price divided by rolling consensus 12-month earnings-per-share estimates for its component stocks among analysts polled by FactSet, weighted by market capitalization.

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Through Monday, the S&P 500 was down 12% for 2025 (again, with dividends reinvested) and its forward P/E ratio had declined to 18.7, well below its five-year valuation of 20.3 and slightly above its 10-year average of 18.6.

One summary of investors’ reactions this month to the day-to-day tariff announcements, and more recently to President Donald Trump’s public attacks on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, came from John McClain, a bond portfolio manager at Brandywine Global, during an interview with MarketWatch on Monday: “We have seen some vicious snapbacks. The moment we get any positive move, investors don’t want to be caught offsides,” he said. “This is a market that wants to be first, not right.”

But long-term investors might prefer to think about opportunities in this market to pay reduced prices while putting money to work for a period of years. If you are building up a retirement nest egg, isn’t it better to buy stocks, or shares of equity funds, at lower prices?