In this article, we will take a detailed look at the10 Best Tech Stocks for the Next 5 Years. For a quick overview of such stocks, read our article 5 Best Tech Stocks for the Next 5 Years.
Despite the massive bull run of 2023 and eye-popping gains of tech stocks like Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) and Salesforce Inc (NYSE:CRM) fueled by the AI boom, many analysts believe tech companies are just getting started with AI innovation and the new era of gains that started after the launch of ChatGPT and generative AI in late 2022 has no end in sight. Short Hills' Steve Weiss recently said in a program on CNBC that despite all the hullaballoo around AI, the AI products offered by companies like Microsoft are not "prime-day ready" as they still need a lot of refinements and tweaks along with innovation before they could be relied upon. Weiss, who is highly bullish on Alphabet, said that it's not easy to break habits of users and concerns related to AI affecting Alphabet's search business are overdone. But what does that mean for the broader AI industry? That companies are still playing around and testing the waters with their initial AI product announcements shows that in the next five to ten years we will see a lot of AI-related innovation that could further push the stock prices of mega-cap tech stocks higher.
The long rally of 2023 and a rebound in tech stocks in 2024 after a brief decline has also showed that the AI-led rally in tech stocks could not be labeled as a bubble. A Wall Street Journal report last year quoted Christopher Harvey, head of equity strategy at Wells Fargo Securities, who said that the rise of AI gave a boost to the stock prices of established, blue-chip companies which are backed by strong fundamentals.
“What you’re getting with these stocks is pristine balance sheets, stable earnings growth, mostly reasonable valuations, and you have that AI kicker,” Harvey reportedly said.
Enabling Tech Sector: Picks and Shovels for AI Technologies
Earlier this month, UBS said in a report that the demand for cybersecurity and AI is expected to skyrocket in the future, which could boost the enabling tech subsector. Enabling technologies enable the development, production and deployment of technologies like AI. Many call tech enabling companies "pick and shovel" companies that power the IT infrastructure. According to UBS estimates, the enabling tech subsector is projected to grow to $1.2 trillion by 2025.
UBS in its report listed nine tech enabling stocks that it believes can continue to grow through 2030.
Best Tech Stocks for the Next 5 Years
Photo by Ruben Sukatendel on Unsplash Methodology
For this article we picked the nine stocks UBS recommended for the next few years through 2030 in its Global Equity Focus report mentioned above while the 10th stock in our list is backed by another expert recommendation by an analyst and a hedge fund manager. We ranked our list based on the number of hedge fund investors in these companies. Why hedge funds? Hedge funds’ top 10 consensus stock picks outperformed the S&P 500 Index by more than 140 percentage points over the last 10 years (see the details here).
Chinese internet giant Baidu Inc (NASDAQ:BIDU) ranks 10th in our list of the best tech stocks to buy for the next five years. UBS said in its report highlighting top tech enablement stocks that a recovery in the ads market would bode well for Baidu Inc (NASDAQ:BIDU). UBS also said Baidu Inc's (NASDAQ:BIDU) PE valuation is "undemanding" and its non-ads business is among the growth drivers for the stock.
Insider Monkey's database of 910 hedge funds shows that 44 hedge funds out of the 910 funds tracked by Insider Monkey had stakes in Baidu Inc (NASDAQ:BIDU). The most notable stakeholder of Baidu Inc (NASDAQ:BIDU) during this period was Panayotis Takis Sparaggis's Alkeon Capital Management which owns a $332 million stake in Baidu Inc (NASDAQ:BIDU).
Ariel Global Fund made the following comment about Baidu, Inc. (NASDAQ:BIDU) in its Q2 2023 investor letter:
“By comparison, after a strong run last quarter, China’s internet search and online community leader, Baidu, Inc. (NASDAQ:BIDU) declined alongside a correction in Chinese stocks attributed to weak gross domestic product. We believe this price action runs counter to the company’s solid business fundamentals. Baidu delivered a top- and bottom-line earnings beat in the period, driven by a recovery in ad and cloud revenues. The company continues to invest heavily in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and is launching a generative AI, Ernie Bot, aimed at rivaling Open AI’s ChatGPT. While monetization of the new technology is largely dependent on regulatory review, we think Baidu should continue to experience margin improvement with the ongoing implementation of efficiency and profitability initiatives. While some investors remain on the sidelines due to uncertainty surrounding China’s economic growth, government regulations, and the political rhetoric towards Taiwan, we remain enthusiastic about Baidu’s longer-term opportunity for revenue growth and margin expansion across internet search, cloud, autonomous driving, artificial intelligence and online video.”
UBS is bullish on ASML Holding NV (NASDAQ:ASML), the Netherlands-based company that makes machines used in the development of semiconductors. UBS likes the stock due to the company's pricing power and high industry barriers. ASML Holding NV (NASDAQ:ASML) recently posted fourth quarter results. Net profit in the quarter came in at 2.05 billion euros versus 1.86 billion euros expected. Net sales in the period jumped 12.5% year over year.
As of the end of the third quarter of 2023, 57 hedge funds out of the 910 funds tracked by Insider Monkey had stakes in ASML Holding NV (NASDAQ:ASML).
Like ASML, analysts are also bullish on Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) and Salesforce Inc (NYSE:CRM).
ClearBridge International Growth EAFE Strategy stated the following regarding ASML Holding N.V. (NASDAQ:ASML) in its fourth quarter 2023 investor letter:
“Another welcome change has been the recognition of generative artificial intelligence (AI) opportunities for companies outside the U.S. While our IT holdings trailed their mega cap U.S. counterparts for most of the year, semiconductor equipment makers ASML Holding N.V. (NASDAQ:ASML) and Tokyo Electron, which we consider enablers of AI, as well as enterprise software maker SAP and IT consultant Accenture, which we see as facilitators of AI adoption in new product lines and/or enhanced business models, rose strongly in the quarter. These companies are rolling out new, AI-enhanced products at higher prices which should positively impact earnings in the near term. On an individual stock basis, the largest contributors to absolute returns in the quarter included ASML and Tokyo Electron in the IT sector.”
Despite cracks appearing in the EV industry amid regulation, costs and a declining interest from users, many analysts believe the future of the auto industry belongs to EVs. Cathie Wood, who has a five-year investment time horizon for her stock picks, continues to believe Tesla will soar in the next few years. In a latest program on CNBC, Wood said most car sales in the next five years would be electric. Cathie Wood believe Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock would reach $2000 by 2027. Famous investor Ron Baron, who founded Baron Capital, also believes Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock could hit $1,500 by 2030.
“Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) ($248.48 – up 101.7% for the year. Recent high $299.29): Tesla has significant and underappreciated competitive advantages across multiple verticals including electric vehicles, software and energy storage. Misunderstood by much of Wall Street – and consequently a favorite of short sellers – Tesla continues to grow rapidly and increase its lead over the competition while delighting consumers in the process. Despite his unconventional (and sometimes off-putting) personality, Elon Musk is a visionary who has created enormous shareholder value. Musk is also a long-term thinker who has embraced the scale-economies-shared business model favored by Henry Ford and Jeff Bezos, intentionally reducing prices, increasing the customer value proposition and expanding the total addressable market. Tesla’s massive scale and cost advantages are now challenging the viability of legacy auto, which has hundreds of billions of dollars of outdated property, plant and equipment in a world that is rapidly transitioning to electric vehicles (EVs). While we expect competition for EVs to intensify and for Tesla to lose market share over time, we also believe the company will increase production and deliveries from approximately 1.8 million vehicles today to approximately 15 million vehicles in 2030 and further its lead in autonomous driving capability. In fact, we expect Tesla will eventually license its autonomous driving software, creating high-margin (70-80%), recurring licensing revenue. Tesla is also one of only two companies that dominate the energy storage market, which has the potential to grow to several hundred billion in revenue as power plants around the world increase their focus on renewable energy. Our investment in Tesla is aligned with our preference for companies that have strong balance sheets and the managerial skill to reinvest capital at high rates of return into large addressable markets.”
Another semiconductor name in the list of the best stocks to buy for the next five years, Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ:AVGO) shares have gained about 109% over the past one year. UBS is bullish on Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ:AVGO) due to 5G-related growth catalysts.
As of the end of the third quarter of 2023, 87 hedge funds out of the 910 funds tracked by Insider Monkey had stakes in Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ:AVGO). The most notable hedge fund stakeholder of Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ:AVGO) was Fisher Asset Management which had a $1.7 billion stake in Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ:AVGO).
ClearBridge Multi Cap Growth Strategy made the following comment about Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO) in its Q2 2023 investor letter:
“While the ClearBridge Multi Cap Growth Strategy has limited mega cap exposure, which has been a recent headwind to relative performance, we own several companies that stand to benefit from the explosive growth in generative AI. These holdings play key roles in building out the necessary infrastructure and helping customers leverage capabilities enabled by this emerging technology.
UBS believes ServiceNow Inc (NYSE:NOW) will benefit from a growing demand of digital products as well as the AI automation trend. Earlier this month Goldman Sachs published a list of stocks it thinks are the best to hedge the tech drawdown risk. ServiceNow Inc (NYSE:NOW) made it to the list. Here is what Goldman Sachs said about this hedging strategy:
“For hedging the tech drawdown risk, we rank US listed hedging alternatives to XLK based on their sensitivity to the factor and current cost in the options market to identify optimal hedges below,” Goldman analysts wrote.
In addition to Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) and Salesforce Inc (NYSE:CRM), ServiceNow is one of the top stocks in the tech enabling sector according to UBS.
“ServiceNow, Inc. (NYSE:NOW) continues to grow revenue and earnings at above a 20% rate, as they have for many years. The company has a software automation platform that efficiently builds applications on top of and across many enterprise functions. The NOW platform can automate almost any workflow previously done through email, spreadsheets, or some other less-than-efficient method. Its addressable market is very large because of the sheer breadth and depth of the tasks that can be automated by using its software. ServiceNow’s offerings tend to save customers money and make their workflows less prone to error. The company’s growth has been among the most consistent in our Portfolio prior to, during, and after the pandemic.”
