10 Best Semiconductor ETFs

In This Article:

In this article, we discuss 10 best semiconductor ETFs. If you want to skip our discussion on the semiconductor industry, head over to 5 Best Semiconductor ETFs

In 2023, the semiconductor industry faced numerous challenges, including inflation, geopolitical uncertainties, supply chain disruptions, and decreased demand in PC and mobile device markets, leading to an 8.2% global revenue decline compared to the previous year. However, despite some persistent challenges, the industry's overall outlook for 2024 is positive, with expectations of double-digit revenue growth. KPMG's annual survey gathered insights from 172 semiconductor executives globally. Despite the revenue contraction in 2023, 83% of respondents anticipate increased revenue growth for their companies in 2024. Additionally, 85% believe the industry as a whole will experience growth, a significant increase from the previous year's survey. 

Several positive factors are expected to drive growth in 2024, including trends in generative artificial intelligence (Gen AI), cloud computing, increased semiconductor usage in automobiles, and expanding aerospace and defense budgets, which could mitigate broader economic and geopolitical risks. While 30% of semiconductor leaders perceive an excess of inventory, up from 24% last year, 19% anticipate increasing demand due to AI and emerging technologies, double the 2023 figure. Overall, 2024 is viewed as the start of another cyclical upswing for the semiconductor industry.

Also Read: ETFs in an Emerging Market: 10 Best ETFs To Buy

Deloitte reported that the semiconductor industry in 2023 faced its seventh downturn since 1990. However, projections for 2024 suggest a recovery, with global sales forecasted to reach $588 billion, marking a 13% improvement over 2023 and a 2.5% increase from the record revenues of $574 billion in 2022. The memory chip market played a significant role in the industry's performance last year, experiencing a sharp decline of around 31%, or approximately $40 billion. However, it is expected to rebound in 2024, approaching 2022 levels. Excluding memory, the rest of the industry saw a more moderate decline of about 3% in 2023. In terms of end markets, both PC and smartphone sales are projected to grow by 4% in 2024, following declines of 14% and 3.5%, respectively, in 2023. The recovery of these key markets is crucial for the semiconductor industry, as communication and computer chip sales, including data center chips, accounted for 56% of total semiconductor sales in 2022. However, inventory levels remained high at over $60 billion in fall 2023, posing a challenge for sales in the first half of 2024 as efforts to reduce inventory continue. Additionally, fab utilization, which reached levels around the mid-90% range during the recent shortage, is expected to decline below 70% in Q4 2023. Higher utilization rates are necessary for industry profitability, suggesting a prolonged recovery period may be required.