10 Best Retail Dividend Stocks to Buy

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In this article, we discuss 10 best retail dividend stocks to buy. You can skip our detailed analysis of the retail sector and the performance of dividend stocks, and go directly to read 5 Best Retail Dividend Stocks to Buy

The retail sector has experienced a major shift since the onset of the pandemic in 2020. It has swiftly responded to changing customer demands by increasing digital services and adjusting its operations accordingly. An increasing number of consumers now opt for the convenience and accessibility of online shopping.

According to a report by Forbes, digital commerce exceeded $1 trillion in a single year for the first time, as reported by Comscore. The last quarter contributed over $332.2 billion. It is important to note that these figures exclude revenues from the travel sector, which could potentially add several hundred billion dollars. Overall, retail sales last year increased by 7% compared to 2021, reaching a total of $4.9 trillion, as reported by National Retail Federation (NRF). This growth rate surpassed the average annual retail sales growth of 3.6% seen before the pandemic.

Also read: 10 Cheap Retail Stocks to Buy

During the market turbulence of last year, almost all sectors were impacted, and the effects continue to be felt despite the market's recovery. The retail sector has also been affected by persistent inflation and consecutive increases in interest rates. According to Deloitte, GDP growth is projected to decrease to 0.9% in 2023 from an estimated 2% in 2022 and 5.9% in 2021. A slowing economy is likely to limit the growth of retail sales. However, a relatively strong labor market may help to sustain sales to some extent. Nevertheless, there is a notable possibility that a recession could have a significantly negative impact on retail sales. The report also mentioned that the economy would shrink if a recession occurs, and unemployment would increase. This could cause a larger-than-expected drop in consumer and business demand, leading to a decline in retail sales.

Despite the challenges posed by inflation, retail stocks performed well last year and continue to show strong performance this year as well. The S&P Retail Select Industry Index, which tracks the performance of retail stocks like Walmart Inc. (NYSE:WMT), The TJX Companies Inc. (NYSE:TJX), and Ross Stores, Inc. (NASDAQ:ROST), delivered a 6.94% return in the past 12 months. The index is up 11.58% year-to-date, as of July 19. Moreover, NRF forecasted that retail sales are expected to grow between 4% and 6% in 2023 compared to 2022, with the expected sales ranging from $5.13 trillion to $5.23 trillion.