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This year has been an exceptional one for the markets as the S&P 500 has risen by around 27%. Many growth stocks are trading near or at their highs as well. But for some investors, there are definitely concerns about whether the market is perhaps a bit too hot, and that tech stocks and those that are benefiting from advances in artificial intelligence (AI) have become wildly overvalued.
If you fall into that category, then there may be an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that could be a more appealing option for you. One ETF that offers significant diversification and that may outperform the S&P 500 next year is the Vanguard Total Stock Market Index (NYSEMKT: VTI).
A potentially softer landing for investors?
Historically, the Vanguard Total Stock Market Index has performed similarly to the S&P 500. But the advantage the Vanguard fund has is that with over 3,600 holdings, it's a much more diversified option for investors. And that can be crucial in a year when certain high-priced stocks may be overdue for a correction but the overall market may still perform well.
Economic conditions remain strong and a recession isn't necessarily inevitable. But if a slowdown does happen, one sector that may be particularly vulnerable is tech, where feverish spending on AI has allowed stocks to rise to obscenely high valuations. And crypto stocks have also been soaring due to Bitcoin climbing above $100,000.
A broader mix of stocks can better position the Vanguard fund to do well under more challenging conditions. One of the benefits of greater diversification is that you can enjoy more stability, but by doing so, you might also have lower returns in strong years than if you went with a more concentrated portfolio. Heading into 2025, that's a trade-off some investors may be willing to make.
The Vanguard fund has less exposure at the top
Many ETFs that are doing well this year have significant holdings in Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia, the three most valuable stocks on the market. Even if you like these stocks, however, it may not be a bad idea to at least modestly reduce your exposure to them so that too much of your investment or portfolio isn't riding on just three stocks.
In the Vanguard fund, those three tech giants account for 16.7% of its total weight. That's slightly lower than the SPDR S&P 500 ETF, which tracks the S&P 500. Those three stocks make up 20.2% of its holdings. While the difference may not be a massive one, it can still make this Vanguard fund a little less vulnerable to a potential correction in those high-valued holdings.