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While strong cash flow is a key indicator of stability, it doesn’t always translate to superior returns. Some cash-heavy businesses struggle with inefficient spending, slowing demand, or weak competitive positioning.
Cash flow is valuable, but it’s not everything - StockStory helps you identify the companies that truly put it to work. Keeping that in mind, here is one cash-producing company that excels at turning cash into shareholder value and two that may face some trouble.
Two Stocks to Sell:
Guess (GES)
Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin: 1.2%
Flexing the iconic upside-down triangle logo with a question mark, Guess (NYSE:GES) is a global fashion brand known for its trendy clothing, accessories, and denim wear.
Why Do We Pass on GES?
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Muted 2.3% annual revenue growth over the last five years shows its demand lagged behind its consumer discretionary peers
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Estimated sales growth of 3.6% for the next 12 months implies demand will slow from its two-year trend
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High net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 5× could force the company to raise capital at unfavorable terms if market conditions deteriorate
Guess’s stock price of $11.68 implies a valuation ratio of 5.6x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with GES, check out our full research report (it’s free).
Johnson Controls (JCI)
Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin: 11.5%
Founded after patenting the electric room thermostat, Johnson Controls (NYSE:JCI) specializes in building products and technology solutions, including HVAC systems, fire and security systems, and energy storage.
Why Should You Dump JCI?
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Core business is underperforming as its organic revenue has disappointed over the past two years, suggesting it might need acquisitions to stimulate growth
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Demand will likely be soft over the next 12 months as Wall Street’s estimates imply tepid growth of 2.9%
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Underwhelming 6.6% return on capital reflects management’s difficulties in finding profitable growth opportunities
Johnson Controls is trading at $90.64 per share, or 23.8x forward P/E. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why JCI doesn’t pass our bar.
One Stock to Buy:
KLA Corporation (KLAC)
Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin: 30.4%
Formed by the 1997 merger of the two leading semiconductor yield management companies, KLA Corporation (NASDAQ:KLAC) is the leading supplier of equipment used to measure and inspect semiconductor chips.
Why Will KLAC Beat the Market?
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Annual revenue growth of 15.6% over the last five years was superb and indicates its market share increased during this cycle
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Excellent operating margin of 35.9% highlights the efficiency of its business model, and its rise over the last five years was fueled by some leverage on its fixed costs
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Strong free cash flow margin of 31.2% enables it to reinvest or return capital consistently