In This Article:
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RBA leaves benchmark rate at 12-yr high of 4.35%
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RBA says not ruling anything in or out of policy
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Aussie dollar dips, markets price in a bit more easing
(Adds comment from RBA governor in paragraphs 6-8, market views in paragraph 11, update prices)
By Wayne Cole and Stella Qiu
SYDNEY, March 19 (Reuters) - Australia's central bank held interest rates steady on Tuesday and watered down its tightening bias, signalling greater confidence that inflation is moving back to its target as the economy slows.
Wrapping up its two-day March policy meeting, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept rates at a 12-year high of 4.35% for a third straight meeting, and said it was not ruling anything in or out on policy.
Markets had wagered heavily on a steady outcome given inflation has held at two-year lows and economic growth slowed to a crawl.
"The path of interest rates that will best ensure that inflation returns to target in a reasonable timeframe remains uncertain and the Board is not ruling anything in or out," said the RBA Board in a statement.
That compared with the previous phrasing that "a further increase in interest rates cannot be ruled out".
Governor Michelle Bullock declined to say whether policy has shifted to neutral at her post meeting briefing, saying risks are "finely balanced", and pushed back immediate rate cuts.
"All we can do is tread carefully and be prepared to act if we see the risk moving in one direction or the other," said Bullock.
"We have to be prepared to watch data.... what it's telling us where things are heading and if that's changing our assessment and that's going to drive potential changes."
AUSSIE DOLLAR DIPS
The Australian dollar eased 0.6% to $0.6518. Three-year bond yields fell 7 basis points to 3.687% and markets are now pricing in a total easing of 43 basis points this year, up from 37 bps before the RBA statement.
"We expect the RBA to remove the last remnants of its tightening bias at the June board meeting, before cutting rates by 25bp in August before a second cut in November, which will see the cash rate end the year at 3.85%," said Tony Sycamore, an analyst at IG.
Commonwealth Bank of Australia and Goldman Sachs said the RBA removed its tightening bias and shifted to a neutral stance, while ANZ said it was more a weakening in bias, and National Australia Bank said the changes in tone were "stylistic tweaks".
Data over the past six weeks suggests the previous policy tightening - with the benchmark rate up 425 basis points since May 2022 - is working well to constrain demand.