At S$0.44, Is Penguin International Limited (SGX:BTM) Worth Looking At Closely?

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Penguin International Limited (SGX:BTM), which is in the shipping business, and is based in Singapore, saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the SGX. Less-covered, small caps tend to present more of an opportunity for mispricing due to the lack of information available to the public, which can be a good thing. So, could the stock still be trading at a low price relative to its actual value? Let’s examine Penguin International’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

Check out our latest analysis for Penguin International

What is Penguin International worth?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my relative valuation model. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Penguin International’s ratio of 7.13x is trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 7.58x, which means if you buy Penguin International today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe Penguin International should be trading in this range, then there isn’t much room for the share price grow beyond where it’s currently trading. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Penguin International’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What kind of growth will Penguin International generate?

SGX:BTM Past and Future Earnings, May 5th 2019
SGX:BTM Past and Future Earnings, May 5th 2019

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by 85% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Penguin International. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in BTM’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at BTM? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on BTM, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for BTM, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Penguin International. You can find everything you need to know about Penguin International in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Penguin International, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.

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