Peninsula Energy Limited (ASX:PEN), an energy company based in Australia, saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the ASX. As a stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s examine Peninsula Energy’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity. View our latest analysis for Peninsula Energy
What is Peninsula Energy worth?
According to my relative valuation model, the stock seems to be currently fairly priced. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-book (PB) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows, and its earnings doesn’t seem to reflect its true value. I find that Peninsula Energy’s ratio of 0.97x is trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 1.74x, which means if you buy Peninsula Energy today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe that Peninsula Energy should be trading at this level in the long run, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. Furthermore, it seems like Peninsula Energy’s share price is quite stable, which means there may be less chances to buy low in the future now that it’s fairly valued. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.
Can we expect growth from Peninsula Energy?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company’s future expectations. In Peninsula Energy’s case, its revenues over the next couple of years are expected to double, indicating an incredibly optimistic future ahead. If expense does not increase by the same rate, or higher, this top line growth should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? Peninsula Energy’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at Peninsula Energy? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?