Fed suddenly 'seems to be dovish,' strategist explains

The Federal Reserve announced they will be holding interest rates steady. Fed Chair Jerome Powell revealed that potential future rate cuts have been discussed.

Yardeni Research President Ed Yardeni says the Fed's decision and messaging were "very rationale" and a "correct assessment." In his view, the Fed's monetary policy signals the economy is slowing as expected without entering recession territory, while inflation continues on a moderating trajectory.

"All of a sudden the Fed seems to be dovish," Yardeni exclaims, believing recent commentary points to a pivot to an easing policy stance. With the change in tone, Yardeni now predicts a Fed rate cut is possible as early as March 2024.

"I mean for two years now, it's like everything is gonna go wrong," Yardeni tells Yahoo Finance. "And now... everybody's agreeing that it's going right, let's enjoy it for a day."

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Video Transcript

- All right, let's stick with this and get another perspective here. Fed Chair Powell wrapping up his press conference just minutes ago after the Fed decided to hold rates steady. Stocks rallying on that news. And Powell admission that the Fed is talking about timing of rate cuts.

Here to discuss is Dr. Ed Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research. Dr. Ed, it's great to see you. Let me start with just getting your reaction, your response, Ed, to what the Fed did and said today.

ED YARDENI: Well, it was all very rational, very reasonable. It was a correct assessment that the economy is slowing. It's not going into recession. And most importantly, there's evidence that inflation across the board is continuing to moderate. It still remains above the Fed's target.

But if you take out shelter, the CPI inflation rate was basically at where the Fed's wants it to be, at 2%. And we know that shelter inflation is going to be coming down. So not really that much of a surprise. I think it was a bit of a surprise that the summary of economic projections maybe went for 75 basis points as the drop in the Fed funds rate next year instead of 50 basis points.

But the market loved it. I loved it. You know, I thought that maybe it's turning out that I wasn't bullish enough because I thought we'd get to 4,600 by the end of the year. And here we are at basically 4,700.

- Man, so everything is fantastic. Is that where we are right now? I mean, is there a risk-- we talked to a guest earlier Andrew Levin, who is an economics professor at Dartmouth, who said, you know, we still have to be on the lookout for particularly services and shelter inflation not cooling down more. And while, of course, Powell said they're attentive to those types of risks, he doesn't seem particularly concerned should they be. Is that something you're watching?