No doomsday on S&P's cards: Chart

Lucas Jackson | Reuters. One chart of the market has trader Todd Gordon betting that the market rally is over. · CNBC

Despite doomsayers' predictions that the S&P 500 index will collapse, the charts still don't support those warnings.

After the S&P index (CME:Index and Options Market: .INX) rallied 14.5 percent in 2014, many analysts worried about a drop, but the chart pattern didn't support that conclusion then and now, six months later, chart patterns aren't supporting new disaster warnings of an imminent collapse of the S&P, the Dow (Dow Jones Global Indexes: .DJI) and the Nasdaq (NASDAQ: .IXIC).

Eventually these markets will retreat, but any retreat will be foreshadowed by the development of end-of-trend chart pattern behavior. Rather than mindless quivering over a fear of heights, it makes more sense to understand the current patterns of behavior and understand how to recognize the potential end-of-trend patterns as they develop.

The S&P trend moves between well-defined trading bands. The market breaks above the resistance level and moves steadily toward the second resistance level calculated by the height of the trading band. The market consolidates near the second resistance level and then retreats. The retreat may use the lower level in the trading band as a support level. The rebound from this lower support level moves above the top of the trading band resistance level. The process of breakout, consolidation, retreat and rebound breakout is repeated. This creates a step and stairway trend pattern. This pattern has been in place with the S&P index since October 2011.

This is a strong trend pattern, with each up-thrust target defined by the width of the trading bands. The market has broken through the consolidation around 2000. The trading band calculation provides a target near 2150. This target is in reach, with the rebound rally from the low near 2050.

The S&P index shows it takes between five and eight months for the index to reach and then breakout above the top of each trading band. This suggests the S&P can move above 2150 before the end of August.

A breakout above 2150 has a target near 2300. Using the same time method, this suggests 2300 can be achieved around March 2016.

Read More Nasdaq rides 2 trends to record as S&P 500 stalls

This is a very steady and well-supported uptrend. The long term group of averages in the Guppy Multiple Moving Average indicator have remained consistently separated since November 2012. When the S&P retreated substantially in October 2014, the long-term GMMA did not develop any compression. This confirmed the exceptional strength of this uptrend. The recent retreat in the S&P also has not triggered compression in the long-term GMMA.