Americans — particularly millennials — are alarmingly late on car payments

A record seven million Americans are more than 90 days late on their auto loan payments, and millennials are clearly leading delinquency rates, according to a report by the New York Fed.

The NY Fed found that the number of new auto loans and leases appearing on credit reports in 2018 reached a new peak — the highest level in the 19 years they have monitored the data — at $584 billion.

Looking at the number of auto loans in serious delinquency, the researchers noted that there was a “sharp worsening in the performance of the loans held by borrowers under 30 years old between 2014 and 2016.”

And as seen in the graph below, borrowers between the ages of 18 and 39 — Pew Research identifies millennials as anyone born between 1981 and 1996 (ages 23 to 38 in 2019) — have the worst delinquency rates as compared to other demographics.

Americans — particularly millennials — are alarmingly late on car payments. (Source: NY Fed)
Americans — particularly millennials — are alarmingly late on car payments. (Source: NY Fed)

The researchers said that overall, the end of 2018 saw “more than a million more troubled borrowers than there had been at the end of 2010,” when the overall delinquency rates were at their worst on record. Auto loans have also surged by almost 35 percent since the Great Recession according to additional data.

“The substantial and growing number of distressed borrowers suggests that not all Americans have benefitted from the strong labor market and warrants continued monitoring and analysis of this sector,” the report concluded.

Delinquencies concentrated in the southeast

A Yahoo Finance analysis of the NY Fed data revealed that many of the higher delinquency rates are concentrated in the southeast, with states like Alabama, Georgia and Mississippi looking at the highest levels.

(Graphic: David Foster/Yahoo Finance)
(Graphic: David Foster/Yahoo Finance)

Vicious cycle of low credit ratings

Millennials with poor credit may be a key contributor to the trend.

“The strongest correlation is credit rating,” Bankrate.com’s chief financial analyst Greg McBride told Yahoo Finance. “Those with poor credit ratings have much higher delinquencies. It’s much more a function of credit rating than age.”

McBride explained that younger people don’t have a long and established credit history, which results in them being classified as non-prime borrowers in addition to depriving them of access to financing options from credit unions or banks.

“Borrowers with credit scores less than 620 saw their transitions into delinquency exceed 8 percent in the fourth quarter,” the NY Fed report stated, “a development that is surprising during a strong economy and labor market.”

Vehicle shopper Mary Jean Jones speaks with Mark Miller Toyota salesman Doug Lund Tuesday, June 13, 2017, in Salt Lake City. (AP Photo/Rick Bowmer)
Vehicle shopper Mary Jean Jones speaks with Mark Miller Toyota salesman Doug Lund Tuesday, June 13, 2017, in Salt Lake City. (AP Photo/Rick Bowmer)

McBride downplayed the idea that millennials’ student loan debt burden created the need to delay payments to reallocate funds: “If you run into financial difficulty, you have more flexibility on that than any other form of payment… with car payments in particular, you have absolutely no wiggle room.”