The stock market got back to its winning ways on Tuesday as the tariff scare faded. That means DeepSeek AI must be really old news. In a bull market, stocks often deal with difficult news and then move higher. The advance was fairly broad, with the S&P 500 (SPX) rising 0.7%, the S&P 100 up 0.9%, and the Nasdaq and Nasdaq 100 tacking on 1.3%. The S&P MidCap 400 added 0.6%, while the S&P SmallCap 600 jumped 1.2%. Turning to sectors, it was a minor risk-on day, with Energy, Information Technology, Consumer Discretionary, and Communication Services rising between 0.9% and 2%, Utilities, Consumer Staples, Financial, and Healthcare were down 0.3% to 0.9%. One of our recent themes has been a break in the U.S. Dollar (USD) and bullish implications for emerging markets. USD topped on January 13 and broke its uptrend on January 21, with the initial pullback falling from $110 to $106.80. The greenback snapped back to $109.75 on February 3, but failed right at former trendline support. USD closed at $108 on Tuesday and appears to be tracing out a double top. The dollar peak coincided with a peak in Treasury yields across the curve. The Commitment of Traders (COT) data was a big reason we were cautious on the greenback. The iShares Emerging Markets (EEM) bottomed on January 13 and broke its downtrend off the October 7 peak. We have seen a five-day/13-day exponential moving average (EMA) crossover buy signal and a completed small inverse head-and-shoulders formation. Emerging markets are highly, negatively correlated with USD. The iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) bottomed On January 10 and a break over $33.25 will complete a small base. It would be nice if some other global markets came to life.

Annaly Capital Management is a leading diversified capital manager. It is a publicly traded REIT that invests in and finances residential assets. The company has three different types of businesses: Agency, Mortgage Servicing Rights, and Residential Credit. The company's primary investment portfolio consists of agency MBS, managed on a leveraged basis. The company uses an actively managed portfolio and hedging strategies with the goal of preserving net asset value in different interest rate scenarios.

Annaly Capital Management is a leading diversified capital manager. It is a publicly traded REIT that invests in and finances residential assets. The company has three different types of businesses: Agency, Mortgage Servicing Rights, and Residential Credit. The company's primary investment portfolio consists of agency MBS, managed on a leveraged basis. The company uses an actively managed portfolio and hedging strategies with the goal of preserving net asset value in different interest rate scenarios.

The major indices are lower with the Nasdaq down more than 2%. The 10-year Treasury note is up 6 bps at 4.33%. Oil is up 1% at $69 per barrel. Inflation indicator PCE mostly came in line with expectations. Headline PCE edged a bit lower, rising at a pace of 2.1% for September, versus 2.2% in August. Core PCE held at 2.7% for September matching August.