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Cboe Indices USD

Treasury Yield 5 Years (^FVX)

3.7090

-0.0520

(-1.38%)

At close: April 4 at 1:59:50 PM CDT

How best to safeguard your portfolio amid geopolitical risks

Israel has launched a retaliatory attack on Iran, but markets have shown a relatively muted reaction to the news. Carson Group Global Macro Strategist Sonu Varghese joins the Morning Brief to provide insights on how to navigate one's portfolio amid heightened geopolitical tensions. Varghese notes that the strike Israel launched was "smaller than expected," and although it initially weighed slightly on markets when first announced, stock futures are now trading flat on the news. However, Varghese emphasizes that these geopolitical tensions underscore the importance of maintaining "value in protection" when building investment portfolios. Varghese suggests that the key question to ask is: "Does this shift the macroeconomic regime that we are already in?" He explains that if the macroeconomic backdrop is already weak, "these sorts of geopolitical tensions add to that." Conversely, if the macroeconomic environment is strong, he does not believe that "geopolitical tensions will significantly exacerbate that." For more expert insight and the latest market action, click here to watch this full episode of Morning Brief. This post was written by Angel Smith

Yahoo Finance Video 11 months ago

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Fed's inflation forecast, market volatility: Top Takeaways

US stock market indexes (^DJI, ^IXIC, ^GSPC) are taken aback by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's statements outlining that it's taking a lot longer than expected to reach the Fed's 2% inflation target. In turn, Treasury yields (^TYX, ^TNX, ^FVX) are flourishing in this higher-for-longer interest rate environment. Yahoo Finance Reporter Alexandra Canal joins Market Domination Overtime to go over the most influential market trends steering stocks, including market volatility levels (^VIX). For more expert insight and the latest market action, click here to watch this full episode of Market Domination Overtime. This post was written by Luke Carberry Mogan.

Yahoo Finance Video 11 months ago

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What are the odds the Fed hikes rates rather than cuts?

US Treasury Yields (^TNX,^TYX,^FVX) are moving higher as the debate over when the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates continues to heat up amid current market conditions. The US economy shows strength as consumers continue to spend despite inflation, according to March's retail sales data, which could encourage Fed officials to hold off on rate cuts. Richard Bernstein Advisors Director of Fixed Income Michael Contopoulos joins Yahoo Finance to break down the recent movements in the bond market and the potential for the Federal Reserve to push rate cuts further down the line in 2024, much to the dismay of many Wall Street forecasts. Contopoulos elaborates on the probability of an interest rate hike: "I put the odds as not so much that I think they will hike, as much as I think that the market will start to price in some probability of a hike. Which is meaningful from a market perspective, both from a credit perspective as well as from an equity perspective. Whether or not they actually get to that point is a different story." For more expert insight and the latest market action, click here to watch this full episode of Yahoo Finance. This post was written by Nicholas Jacobino

Yahoo Finance Video 11 months ago

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Why some parts of US 'may not be livable' for homebuyers

HousingWire Lead Analyst Logan Mohtashami joins Yahoo Finance to provide insights on the current state of the housing market. Mohtashami emphasizes that housing affordability "depends on the labor market." He explains that if jobless claims increase, mortgage rates will likely fall, but if not, "then we'll stay at these levels." However, he highlights the improving spreads between the 10-year (^TNX) and 30-year Treasury yields (^TYX). Mohtashami highlights the impact of climate change on the housing market, going as far as to say that "parts of the country might not be livable for a lot of homebuyers." He points out that as housing insurance costs rise amid natural disasters, "that's a problem" that could last for decades. Despite these challenges, Mohtashami sees a "good story" in the housing inventory for 2024. He notes that new listings and active inventory are growing, although not significantly, but "it's good enough to give people more choices." For more expert insight and the latest market action, click here to watch this full episode of Market Domination Overtime. This post was written by Angel Smith

Yahoo Finance Video 11 months ago

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Fed seems 'anxious' to begin rate cuts: Fmr. Richmond Fed Pres.

Consumers, investors, and the market itself are all tuned into inflation's increasingly apparent presence in 2024, drawing even more attention on when the Federal Reserve will finally pivot and start cutting interest rates. Former Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Jeffrey Lacker sits down with Yahoo Finance to talk about why he thinks the Fed is "a bit over their skis" and if inflation persists, it's possible that officials may not issue "any rate cuts in this year at all." "Policy needs to be restrictive enough. The key with monetary policy is always in a situation like this, is encouraging people to delay spending because it's the excess of spending over the economy's capacity that drives inflation," Lacker, currently the Senior Affiliated Scholar at the Mercatus Center, says. "You don't need to reduce spending so much as to cause a recession, but you do need to restrain it enough. The signs are there's a good chance that Fed policy isn't terribly restrictive right now, and isn't going to do the trick in getting inflation down." For more expert insight and the latest market action, click here to watch this full episode of Market Domination Overtime. This post was written by Luke Carberry Mogan.

Yahoo Finance Video 11 months ago

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ECB holds interest rates steady: What this means for the Fed

The European Central Bank (ECB) is holding interest rates at their current level for its fifth consecutive meeting. State-side, all eyes are still drawn on the Federal Reserve and when officials will prescribe their first dose of interest rate cuts as the US struggles with protracted inflation. Yahoo Finance Senior Reporter Jennifer Schonberger joins the Morning Brief to discuss the economic cues that global central banks, such as the ECB and the Fed, are looking to. For more expert insight and the latest market action, click here to watch this full episode of Morning Brief. This post was written by Luke Carberry Mogan.

Yahoo Finance Video 11 months ago

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Fed rate cuts, Treasury yields, small caps: Market Takeaways

Major stock market indexes (^DJI, ^IXIC, ^GSPC) pulled back Wednesday, the sell-off fueled by March's Consumer Price Index (CPI) print as the Federal Reserve goes back and forth over how many interest rate cuts will be realistic in 2024. Yahoo Finance Markets Reporter Josh Schafer joins Market Domination Overtime to talk about Wednesday's market-moving themes, particularly for Treasury yields (^DJI, ^IXIC, ^GSPC) and Russell 2000 small-cap stocks (^RUT). For more expert insight and the latest market action, click here to watch this full episode of Market Domination Overtime. This post was written by Luke Carberry Mogan.

Yahoo Finance Video 11 months ago

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Inflation risks reminiscent of the 1970s economy for the Fed

The 10-year Treasury yield (^TYX) is peaking above 4.5% coming off of this morning's Consumer Price Index (CPI) report that saw inflation tick up 0.4% month-over-month and 3.5% annually. The Federal Reserve could have a serious case of déjà vu on its hands if inflation manages to unwind economic progress, as was the case in the 1970s. Yahoo Finance Senior Reporter Jared Blikre gauges the momentum behind market volatility and "supercore" inflation — the prices of services that exclude housing and energy costs — as the Fed wrestles with March's economic data. For more expert insight and the latest market action, click here to watch this full episode of Market Domination. This post was written by Luke Carberry Mogan.

Yahoo Finance Video 11 months ago

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Bond yields show resilience despite hot CPI report

Bond yields are performing well despite March's hot CPI print. JPMorgan Asset Management Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Kelsey Berro joins Yahoo Finance to discuss bond market outlooks. Berro says Wednesday's move within the bond market has been "a rationale" one. She notes the Fed has been "holding on" to the idea that a June rate cut is possible, with a prediction of three rate cuts in 2024. However, that path has "narrowed," which has resulted in markets re-adjusting and pricing out rate cut expectations. Berro names the two-year, five-year (^FVX), and 10-year (^TNX) yields as good entry points into the market for investors. She notes her focus on markets has shifted from the Fed's monetary policy path to "the strength of the corporate fundamentals" when it comes to fixed-income portfolios. Although conversations around "pricing out rate cuts" and potential delays have begun, she stresses what's also "important for investors" to consider right now: that the possibility of rate hikes is not on the table. For more expert insight and the latest market action, click here to watch this full episode of Yahoo Finance Live. Editor's note: This article was written by Angel Smith

Yahoo Finance Video 11 months ago

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10-year Treasury yield, US dollar surge on March inflation

Ten-year Treasury yield (^TNX) are moving to the upside following this morning's Consumer Price Index (CPI) print for the month of March. Morning Brief anchor Madison Mills monitors the activity across the rest of the bond market (^TYX, ^FVX) and even the US dollar (DX-Y.NB) as markets digest the hotter-than-expected inflation data. For more expert insight and the latest market action, click here to watch this full episode of Yahoo Finance. Editor's note: This article was written by Luke Carberry Mogan.

Yahoo Finance Video 11 months ago

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Stocks end day flat ahead of Wednesday's CPI print

Major market indexes (^DJI, ^IXIC, ^GSPC) close out Tuesday, April 9, around their respective flatlines — the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 moved ever so slightly to the upside. Market Domination Overtime Anchor Julie Hyman breaks down the market action — also eyeing Treasury yields (^TYX, ^TNX, ^FVX) activity and oil prices (CL=F, BZ=F) — while Senior Markets Reporter Jared Blikre provides an analysis of the day's sector leaders and laggards. For more expert insight and the latest market action, click here to watch this full episode of Market Domination Overtime. Editor's note: This article was written by Luke Carberry Mogan.

Yahoo Finance Video 11 months ago

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Is now the time to lock into Treasury yields amid Fed rates?

Treasury yields (^TYX, ^TNX, ^FVX), in particular the 10-year note, have seen serious upsides as the Federal Reserve opts to keep interest rates higher for longer in the first half of 2024. UBS Global Wealth Management Head of Taxable Fixed Income Strategy Leslie Falconio joins Yahoo Finance Live to discuss fixed-income investment strategies amid the current rate environment. "I really think now the focus is going to be on the other side of the [Fed's] mandate, which is on the growth side. And our expectation is that throughout the year, although it remains above trend... growth will slow, and that's what we believe," Falconio explains. "So to us, it really doesn't matter whether the Fed cuts in June or July, 75 or 50 [basis points], as long as they cut this year, and as long as inflation is not priced in, then we think that 10-year yield will trend lower around that 3.75% level." For more expert insight and the latest market action, click here to watch this full episode of Yahoo Finance Live. Editor's note: This article was written by Luke Carberry Mogan.

Yahoo Finance Video 11 months ago

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