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Mortgage and refinance rates today, September 11, 2024: CPI numbers could lead to lower rates

Laura Grace Tarpley
·Lead Editor and Content Strategist, Mortgages
Updated 5 min read

Mortgage rates have decreased on almost all purchase and refinance terms this week. According to Zillow data, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is down 19 basis points to 5.74%, and the 30-year refinance rate has dropped 24 basis points to 5.97%. The 30-year purchase rate has held under 6% for over two straight weeks, and the 30-year refinance rate has been under 6% for almost a full week.

This morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released August's Consumer Price Index (CPI), a key measure of inflation. August inflation rose 2.5% year over year. Not only was this slower than the July year-over-year inflation of 2.9%, but it was the lowest rate since February 2021. This solidifies the expectation that the Federal Reserve will cut the federal funds rate at its meeting next Wednesday.

Dig deeper: How does inflation affect mortgage rates?

Here are the current mortgage rates, according to the latest Zillow data:

  • 30-year fixed: 5.74%

  • 20-year fixed: 5.49%

  • 15-year fixed: 5.00%

  • 5/1 ARM: 6.10%

  • 7/1 ARM: 5.95%

  • 5/1 FHA: 4.56%

  • 30-year VA: 5.07%

  • 15-year VA: 4.52%

  • 5/1 VA: 5.58%

Remember, these are the national averages and rounded to the nearest hundredth.

Learn more: 5 strategies for getting the lowest mortgage rates

These are today's mortgage refinance rates, according to the latest Zillow data:

  • 30-year fixed: 5.97%

  • 20-year fixed: 5.62%

  • 15-year fixed: 5.26%

  • 5/1 ARM: 6.17%

  • 7/1 ARM: 5.92%

  • 5/1 FHA: 4.68%

  • 30-year VA: 5.20%

  • 15-year VA: 4.82%

  • 5/1 VA: 5.13%

Again, the numbers provided are national averages rounded to the nearest hundredth. Mortgage refinance rates are often higher than rates when you buy a house, although that's not always the case.

Use Yahoo Finance's free mortgage calculator to see how various interest rates and term lengths will impact your monthly mortgage payment. It also shows how the home price and down payment amount play into things.

Our calculator includes homeowners insurance and property taxes in your monthly payment estimate. You even have the option to enter costs for private mortgage insurance (PMI) and homeowners' association dues if those apply to you. These details result in a more accurate monthly payment estimate than if you simply calculated your mortgage principal and interest.

There are two main advantages to a 30-year fixed mortgage: Your payments are lower, and your monthly payments are predictable.

A 30-year fixed-rate mortgage has relatively low monthly payments because you’re spreading your repayment out over a longer period of time than with, say, a 15-year mortgage. Your payments are predictable because, unlike with an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM), your rate isn’t going to change from year to year. Most years, the only things that might affect your monthly payment are any changes to your homeowners insurance or property taxes.

The main disadvantage to 30-year fixed mortgage rates is mortgage interest — both in the short and long term.

A 30-year fixed term comes with a higher rate than a shorter fixed term, and it’s higher than the intro rate to a 30-year ARM. The higher your rate, the higher your monthly payment. You’ll also pay much more in interest over the life of your loan due to both the higher rate and the longer term.

The pros and cons of 15-year fixed mortgage rates are basically swapped from the 30-year rates. Yes, your monthly payments will still be predictable, but another advantage is that shorter terms come with lower interest rates. Not to mention, you’ll pay off your mortgage 15 years sooner. So you’ll save potentially hundreds of thousands of dollars in interest over the course of your loan.

However, because you’re paying off the same amount in half the time, your monthly payments will be higher than if you choose a 30-year term.

Dig deeper: 15-year vs. 30-year mortgages

Adjustable-rate mortgages lock in your rate for a predetermined amount of time, then change it periodically. For example, with a 5/1 ARM, your rate stays the same for the first five years and then goes up or down once per year for the remaining 25 years.

The main advantage is that the introductory rate is usually lower than what you’ll get with a 30-year fixed rate, so your monthly payments will be lower. (Current average rates don't reflect this, though — national fixed rates are actually lower. Talk to your lender before deciding between a fixed or adjustable rate.)

With an ARM, you have no idea what mortgage rates will be like once the intro-rate period ends, so you risk your rate increasing later. This could ultimately end up costing more, and your monthly payments are unpredictable from year to year.

Learn more: Adjustable-rate vs. fixed-rate mortgage

The national average 30-year mortgage rate is 5.74% right now, according to Zillow. But keep in mind that averages can vary depending on where you live. For example, if you're buying in a city with a high cost of living, rates could be even higher.

Yes, mortgage interest rates are expected to decrease gradually over the next couple of years. Experts predict the average 30-year rate will settle somewhere between 6.4% to 6.5% by the end of 2024, and then to 5.9% by late 2025.

Yes, mortgage rates are inching down overall. The 30-year fixed mortgage rate has held under 6% for over two consecutive weeks, according to Zillow data.

In many ways, securing a low mortgage refinance rate is similar to when you bought your home. Try to improve your credit score and lower your debt-to-income ratio (DTI). Refinancing into a shorter term will also land you a lower rate, though your monthly mortgage payments will be higher.