This article looks at the 8 Best Small Cap Defense Stocks to Buy Now. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Triumph Group, Inc. (NYSE:TGI) stands against the other small cap defense stocks. We also dive deep into the impact of ongoing regional military conflicts on the defense industry.
The world has been rocked with conflict over the last few years. On November 19, Ukraine marked 1,000 days since Russia invaded the country, with no immediate end to the war in sight. Armenia and Azerbaijan continue to engage in sporadic exchange of fire across the border, after the former lost control of the Nagorno-Karabakh region to Azeri troops in 2020.
The Middle East is going through its worst crisis since the Arab-Israeli War in 1973, with Israel invading Gaza and then Lebanon in continuation of its response to the October 2023 Hamas-led attack on the country.
While the human impact of the wars has been tragic, the defense industry has profited by luring investors into piling up their stocks. After Iran launched projectiles toward Tel Aviv and Israeli military bases on October 1, several of the world’s top defense contractors saw their shares book an all-time high. As of November 19, an Aerospace & Defense ETF issued by iShares has gained 19.26% year-to-date, outperforming the broader market by over two percentage points.
However, defense shares in the third week of November following the announcement of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) by President-elect Donald Trump. The Republican-winning candidate nominated Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy to co-lead the department, which will work outside the federal stream and aims to improve governance by reducing wasteful spending, cutting unnecessary regulations, and restructuring federal agencies.
In a note published on election day, analysts at Jefferies argued that a renewed focus under the Trump administration to force allies into paying their share can hurt defense sentiment. During his first term in office, the 78-year-old threatened to withdraw from NATO if other member countries didn’t increase their military spending. You can read about the disparities in spending in our 2023 article, NATO Military Spending by Country: Top 20 Countries.
Trump has also vowed to end the tumultuous wars in Ukraine and the Middle East. While talking to Quartz on November 4, Russell Hackmann, president at Hackmann Wealth Partners, stated the following:
Trump is more anti-war and therefore that is worse for the defense stocks.
In contrast, other experts see long-term growth potential in the defense sector under Trump’s second stint. He is credited for leaving a mark on the U.S. military during his first term, which saw defense spending reaching record highs and the establishment of the United States Space Force (USSF). Over the past year or so, Trump has regularly made mention of wanting to build 'a great Iron Dome missile defense shield over our entire country.’
Methodology
We used stock screeners to identify companies in the aerospace and defense industry with a market cap of between $300 million and $2 billion, as of November 19, 2024. Then we picked the top 8 stocks that had the highest number of hedge funds having stakes in them. We ranked them in ascending order of hedge fund holders in each company. Data on hedge funds was sourced from Insider Monkey’s database of 900 hedge funds for the third quarter of 2024. We have also included firearm companies in our analysis as they are considered a part of the broader defense industry.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
Aerial view of a modern commercial jetliner in flight, its wings reflecting the setting sun.
Triumph Group, Inc. (NYSE:TGI) is an American aerospace and defense company that designs, engineers, manufactures, repairs, and overhauls complex aerospace structures and systems for both the commercial and military markets.
Triumph Group, Inc. (NYSE:TGI) has been providing original equipment and Hydraulic Utility Actuation Valves (HUAV) for the F-35 fifth-generation fighter jets since 2014, and in August this year, it extended its sustainment agreement with Lockheed Martin to provide repair and technical support to ensure fleet readiness of one of the world’s most advance fighters.
In its latest Q2 2025 earnings call on November 12, Triumph Group, Inc. (NYSE:TGI) announced a military aftermarket revenue of $44 million, which remained flat compared to last year. CH-47 aftermarket sales grew 63% during the quarter but were offset by lower V-22 aftermarket sales. Military OEM revenue was posted at $64 million, growing $3 million compared to the prior year, with a significant volume increase in CH-47 and F/A-18 OEM sales.
Overall, consolidated revenue for the quarter stood at $287 million, with aftermarket revenue growing 13% year-over-year and contributing 60% of the company’s profit. Commercial aftermarket registered a 34% growth, driven by rising average fleet age. Adjusted operating income was posted at $36 million, up 44% from last year, while adjusted EBITDA increased 26% to a total of $43 million. Triumph Group, Inc. (NYSE:TGI)’s interior business also returned to profitability after deep cost cuts and a favorable commercial resolution with Boeing.
It ended the quarter with a backlog of $1.9 billion. This is 7% higher compared to last year and has been fueled by commercial and military platform growth. Triumph Group, Inc. (NYSE:TGI) is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for advanced solutions as international travel increases and demand for military equipment remains robust amid ongoing regional conflicts.
Triumph Group, Inc. (NYSE:TGI) is one of the best defense stocks to buy now, with 24 hedge funds having a stake in the company, according to Insider Monkey’s database for Q3 2024.
Overall TGI ranks 1st on our list of the best small cap defense stocks to buy. While we acknowledge the potential of TGI as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than TGI but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
