As Ukraine crisis deepens, risk-off mood grows

As Ukraine crisis deepens, risk-off mood grows

Tensions over Ukraine have been simmering for weeks and now threaten to spill over into a much deeper risk-off mood in global financial markets, some analysts say.

"I do think there is more room for a risk-off move given this Ukraine issue, which has been bubbling away in the background but is increasing in intensity," Laura Fitzsimmons, the vice president for futures and options at JPMorgan Investment Bank in Sydney, told CNBC. "That could crystalize in the next few weeks to become an issue for markets."

Read More Ukraine versus economic news: What matters more to market

Pro-Russian rebels shot down a Ukrainian helicopter in fierce fighting on the eastern town of Slaviansk on Monday, while Ukraine drafted special police forces to the southwestern port city of Odessa to stop rebellion spreading west, Reuters reported.

Ukraine has been in the market spotlight since February when the pro-Russian former President Viktor Yanukovich was ousted from power following street protests that turned violent. A pro-Western interim government took charge and not long after Russia used its military to back separatists in Ukraine's Crimea region, triggering sanctions from the U.S. and Europe.

Read More EU hardens stance on Gazprom pipeline

Fighting in parts of Ukraine has intensified, fueling fears that the crisis may not be contained as previously hoped.

"I am acutely aware that Ukraine is inching closer and closer to civil war; if it erupts the Eurasia fallout will be felt across the world; commodities will be volatile, currencies will see gyrations and equity markets will experience downward pressure," Evan Lucas, market strategist at trading firm IG, said in a note.

"Let's hope this scenario does not arise but it will be a flash point for a possible sell-off - which the market seems to be gunning for," he added.

Concerns over Ukraine weighed on Wall Street shares on Monday, although upbeat news on U.S. service-sector activity helped shares bounce back.

Global stock markets in general have proved resilient to geopolitical tensions this year, with the S&P 500 up almost 1.8 percent. European stock markets have gained about 2.6 percent, while Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan are about 1.6 percent higher.

Fitzsimmons at JPMorgan said she expected any pull-back in global stocks related to the Ukraine crisis to be in the region of 5-10 percent, with Europe likely to be hit harder than the U.S.

Read More The bond market is giving the stock market angst

Analysts said safe-havens such as the Japanese yen and U.S. Treasurys could also gain further ground.