A Sliding Share Price Has Us Looking At Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd.'s (HKG:2238) P/E Ratio

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To the annoyance of some shareholders, Guangzhou Automobile Group (HKG:2238) shares are down a considerable 31% in the last month. Indeed the recent decline has arguably caused some bitterness for shareholders who have held through the 30% drop over twelve months.

Assuming nothing else has changed, a lower share price makes a stock more attractive to potential buyers. While the market sentiment towards a stock is very changeable, in the long run, the share price will tend to move in the same direction as earnings per share. So, on certain occasions, long term focussed investors try to take advantage of pessimistic expectations to buy shares at a better price. One way to gauge market expectations of a stock is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). Investors have optimistic expectations of companies with higher P/E ratios, compared to companies with lower P/E ratios.

View our latest analysis for Guangzhou Automobile Group

How Does Guangzhou Automobile Group's P/E Ratio Compare To Its Peers?

Guangzhou Automobile Group's P/E is 9.06. The image below shows that Guangzhou Automobile Group has a P/E ratio that is roughly in line with the auto industry average (9.1).

SEHK:2238 Price Estimation Relative to Market April 5th 2020
SEHK:2238 Price Estimation Relative to Market April 5th 2020

Guangzhou Automobile Group's P/E tells us that market participants think its prospects are roughly in line with its industry. If the company has better than average prospects, then the market might be underestimating it. Checking factors such as director buying and selling. could help you form your own view on if that will happen.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

Earnings growth rates have a big influence on P/E ratios. Earnings growth means that in the future the 'E' will be higher. Therefore, even if you pay a high multiple of earnings now, that multiple will become lower in the future. So while a stock may look expensive based on past earnings, it could be cheap based on future earnings.

Guangzhou Automobile Group saw earnings per share decrease by 39% last year. But EPS is up 21% over the last 5 years.

Remember: P/E Ratios Don't Consider The Balance Sheet

Don't forget that the P/E ratio considers market capitalization. So it won't reflect the advantage of cash, or disadvantage of debt. Theoretically, a business can improve its earnings (and produce a lower P/E in the future) by investing in growth. That means taking on debt (or spending its cash).

Such expenditure might be good or bad, in the long term, but the point here is that the balance sheet is not reflected by this ratio.

Is Debt Impacting Guangzhou Automobile Group's P/E?

Guangzhou Automobile Group has net cash of CN¥20b. This is fairly high at 22% of its market capitalization. That might mean balance sheet strength is important to the business, but should also help push the P/E a bit higher than it would otherwise be.