The Horizon Minerals (ASX:HRZ) Share Price Is Up 125% And Shareholders Are Boasting About It

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When you buy a stock there is always a possibility that it could drop 100%. But on the bright side, you can make far more than 100% on a really good stock. For example, the Horizon Minerals Limited (ASX:HRZ) share price has soared 125% in the last half decade. Most would be very happy with that. On top of that, the share price is up 17% in about a quarter. This could be related to the recent financial results, released recently - you can catch up on the most recent data by reading our company report.

View our latest analysis for Horizon Minerals

With just AU$241,406 worth of revenue in twelve months, we don't think the market considers Horizon Minerals to have proven its business plan. So it seems that the investors focused more on what could be, than paying attention to the current revenues (or lack thereof). It seems likely some shareholders believe that Horizon Minerals will find or develop a valuable new mine before too long.

Companies that lack both meaningful revenue and profits are usually considered high risk. There is usually a significant chance that they will need more money for business development, putting them at the mercy of capital markets. So the share price itself impacts the value of the shares (as it determines the cost of capital). While some such companies do very well over the long term, others become hyped up by promoters before eventually falling back down to earth, and going bankrupt (or being recapitalized). Some Horizon Minerals investors have already had a taste of the sweet taste stocks like this can leave in the mouth, as they gain popularity and attract speculative capital.

When it reported in June 2019 Horizon Minerals had minimal cash in excess of all liabilities consider its expenditure: just AU$1.7m to be specific. So if it has not already moved to replenish reserves, we think the near-term chances of a capital raising event are pretty high. Given how low on cash the it got, investors must really like its potential for the share price to be up 91% per year, over 5 years . You can see in the image below, how Horizon Minerals's cash levels have changed over time (click to see the values). You can see in the image below, how Horizon Minerals's cash levels have changed over time (click to see the values).

ASX:HRZ Historical Debt, October 13th 2019
ASX:HRZ Historical Debt, October 13th 2019

Of course, the truth is that it is hard to value companies without much revenue or profit. However you can take a look at whether insiders have been buying up shares. It's often positive if so, assuming the buying is sustained and meaningful. You can click here to see if there are insiders buying.