Earnings rush — What you need to know in markets this week

After a holiday-shortened week in which stocks fell again, earnings will be in focus.

Last week, geopolitical, not economic, concerns dominated the headlines as only the major U.S. bank earnings out Thursday provided investors with market-moving headline data to key off.

In the week ahead, investors will have a fairly quiet economic data calendar, but earnings will begin heating up.

Reports expected this week include blue-chippers Netflix (NFLX), Bank of America (BAC), IBM (IBM), Qualcomm (QCOM), eBay (EBAY), and GE (GE). United Airlines (UAL), which has been in the news of late for all the wrong reasons, will also report earnings.

Netflix CEO Reed Hastings.
Netflix CEO Reed Hastings.

And while corporate earnings are top-of-mind for investors in all quarters, the first three months of 2017 will be of particular interest given that so many non-financial reasons (read: Trump’s economic agenda) for being bullish U.S. stocks have fizzled in the last month or so.

Couple this with high expectations — FactSet’s John Butters notes that first quarter earnings growth is forecast to hit 9% for the S&P 500 — and the potential for disappointment is high.

Economic calendar

  • Monday: Empire State manufacturing, April (15.0 expected; 16.4 previously)

  • Tuesday: Housing starts, March (-3% expected; +3% previously); Building permits, March (+2.8% expected; -6.2% previously); Industrial production, March (+0.5% expected; +0% previously)

  • Wednesday: Federal Reserve’s latest Beige Book

  • Thursday: Initial jobless claims (234,000 previously); Philly Fed manufacturing, April (25.0 expected; 32.8 previously); Index of leading economic indicators, March (+0.2% expected; +0.6% previously)

  • Friday: Markit flash manufacturing PMI, April (53.8 expected; 53.3 previously); Markit flash services PMI, April (53.6 expected; 52.8 previously); Existing home sales, March (+2% expected; -3.7% previously)

Trump flips on Yellen

During a week that saw the “mother of all bombs,” United’s customer service, and North Korea dominate the conversation, President Trump’s comments on the dollar and the future of Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen were the biggest story of the week.

In an interview with The Wall Street Journal published Wednesday, Trump said that Yellen was “not toast” when her term as Fed chair expires in February 2018, adding that, “I like [Yellen], I respect her… it’s very early.”

This is a huge reversal from Trump’s rhetoric during the campaign. In September 2016, Trump said, Yellen and the Fed were “obviously political,” and that rates were being kept low because it is what then-President Obama wanted from the central bank. “What they [the Fed] are doing is, I believe, it’s a false market. Money is essentially free,” Trump told The Wall Street Journal.