Crocs Inc. (CROX): Expanding Footwear Horizons with Strong Q2 2024 Growth
We recently published a list of 8 High Growth High Margin Stocks to Invest In Now. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Crocs, Inc. (NASDAQ:CROX) stands against other high growth high market stocks to invest in.
How Market Trends Shape Opportunities
When investor confidence is high, capital tends to flow into growth sectors, driving up stock prices and valuations. This is particularly relevant for companies with strong growth prospects and high margins, as they are often seen as more resilient in a recovering economy. Current market dynamics indicate that much of the upward movement may be attributed to multiple expansions rather than just earnings growth. High-growth stocks typically trade at higher price-to-earnings ratios, so if the market continues to expand, these stocks could benefit significantly as investors are willing to pay a premium for growth potential.
Jason Trennert, Strategas Research Partners chairman and CEO, joined CNBC’s ‘Squawk Box’ on October 3 to discuss the latest market trends and the state of the economy, highlighting that the bar is high to get bearish now.
Jason Trennert revealed that he turned bullish at the end of 2023 after initially predicting a recession. Despite the challenges of 2022 and early 2023, which made it difficult to envision a market recovery, he noted that the market has defied expectations and continued to rise. Trennert attributed a significant portion of this upward movement to multiple expansions rather than just earnings growth. He marked a pivotal moment in 2023 as the failure of Silicon Valley Bank, which led to increased liquidity in the market and a subsequent rally. He recalled that around eleven months ago, the S&P 500 briefly hit 4,100 when ten-year yields reached 5%, suggesting that market dynamics have shifted considerably since then.
When discussing current valuations, Trennert pointed out that the market is trading at approximately 22 times earnings during an easing cycle. He expressed skepticism about future earnings growth, as expectations for a 14% increase in S&P earnings next year seem inconsistent with the anticipated six rate cuts from the Fed. He emphasized that if the market is expecting such significant easing while also projecting strong earnings growth, there may be a disconnect.
Trennert also addressed concerns regarding government spending and deficits, noting that the federal deficit has reached 7% of GDP and expressing a desire for more free-market-oriented policies rather than gridlock in Washington. He criticized both parties for their lack of commitment to reducing deficits and highlighted the moral hazard created by prolonged quantitative easing over the past 12 years. He believes that this situation has led to irresponsible spending practices that will eventually necessitate accountability. Despite these concerns, Trennert acknowledged that it is challenging to adopt a bearish outlook given current market conditions. He noted that ten-year treasury yields above 4.5% typically lead to market indigestion, while yields below this threshold make it hard to remain pessimistic.
As for small-cap stocks, Trennert pointed out that they have historically been underrepresented in portfolios and may offer opportunities for future growth. He highlighted that many venture capital-backed firms are looking to go public, with approximately 45% of them potentially tapping into the IPO market at some point. However, he cautioned that if the economy continues to slow down and earnings growth expectations are not met, small caps may struggle.
Skepticism about the projected earnings growth for the S&P 500 could also apply to high-growth stocks. If expectations for earnings growth are too optimistic relative to economic conditions, such as anticipated rate cuts, it may lead to volatility in high-growth stocks, especially if actual earnings do not meet these elevated expectations. Companies with high-profit margins are generally better positioned to weather economic downturns. As Trennert noted concerns regarding government spending and deficits, firms that maintain or improve their profit margins may be more attractive to investors seeking stability amidst economic uncertainty.
Trennert’s overall analysis underscores the importance of monitoring government policies and economic indicators as they influence investor sentiment and market performance moving forward. Still, his predominantly bullish sentiment lays the groundwork for a lot of investors, and to make the portfolio expansion process even easier for them, we’re here with a list of the 8 high growth high margin stocks to invest in now.
Methodology
We sifted through Finviz to compile an initial list of the top stocks. From that list, we narrowed our choices to 15 companies with TTM net profit margin above 20% and 5-year net income compound annual growth rates above 25%. We then selected the 8 stocks that were the most popular among elite hedge funds and that analysts were bullish on. The stocks are ranked in ascending order of the number of hedge funds that have stakes in them, as of Q2 2024.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
A busy retail store full of customers trying on a wide range of footwear.
Crocs Inc. (NASDAQ:CROX)
5-Year Net Income CAGR: 29.08%
TTM Net Profit Margin: 20.02%
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 40
Crocs Inc. (NASDAQ:CROX) is a footwear company that manufactures and markets the Crocs brand of foam footwear. It has expanded its product line to include other footwear styles, such as sandals, sneakers, and boots, focusing on providing casual and comfortable footwear for both adults and children.
Q2 2024 revenue increased by 3.65% from a year-ago period. In North America, revenue grew by 3%, exceeding expectations due to strong D2C sales and increased retail demand. Internationally, revenue grew by 22%, with China and Australia showing particularly impressive growth.
The company’s focus on collaborations and partnerships is driving consumer engagement and brand recognition. In the second quarter, it celebrated SpongeBob’s 25th anniversary by creating a SpongeBob and Patrick clog, along with strategic partnerships with popular brands like Pringles, Naruto, Treasure, and Minions. It’s expanding into sneakers and lifestyle products, as evidenced by the successful launch of the Salehe Juniper sneaker. The iconic Classic Clog continues to drive growth. It’s also introducing highly anticipated fan-requested products, including Pet Crocs, Classic Lined Clogs, and a life-sized Crocs Costume, to celebrate its annual Croctober festivities.
Its brand, HEYDUDE, partnered with musician Jelly Roll to create a limited-edition shoe inspired by his new album. The shoes cost come with a free vinyl copy of the album (while supplies last). Part of the proceeds will go to Big Brothers Big Sisters youth mentoring organization. Crocs Inc. (NASDAQ:CROX) recently broke above the 50-day moving average, indicating a potential bullish trend. Its recent share price gains, and positive earnings estimate revisions make it a promising investment opportunity.
Silver Beech Capital stated the following regarding Crocs, Inc. (NASDAQ:CROX) in its first quarter 2024 investor letter:
“In October 2023, we invested in Crocs, Inc. (NASDAQ:CROX), the manufacturer/retailer of iconic foam casual footwear, at an attractive mid-teens FCF yield. Crocs is a well-managed, capital light, high margin, growing consumer-favorite brand.
We believe a combination of cognitive and institutional biases prevented the market from correctly evaluating the company, including anchoring sales expectations to the company’s pre-pandemic sales volume, overextrapolating sales slowdowns at the company’s relatively small HeyDude subsidiary, and focusing on questionable short-term oriented alternative data. The market misunderstood (and perhaps still does) the company’s growth profile, earnings quality, and earnings power. In the year ahead, we forecasted there was a straightforward path to Crocs posting strong near-term topline and FCF growth while deleveraging.
After a few months, the market agreed with us that Crocs was simply too cheap and quickly rerated the company. The Fund does not own a stake in Crocs today. The Fund’s investment in Crocs generated a 248% gross IRR / 40% total gross return over our 4-month investment period.”
Overall, CROX ranks 5th on our list of high growth high market stocks to invest in. While we acknowledge the growth potential of CROX, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold great promise for delivering high returns and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than CROX but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.