Cramer Remix: Be very careful with Luckin Coffee's IPO

Cramer Remix: Be very careful with Luckin Coffee's IPO · CNBC

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  • "Unless we're talking about a terrific company with a tried-and-true track record, you need to be very careful about Chinese IPOs because this cohort has been very tough to own," CNBC's Jim Cramer says.

  • "Luckin Coffee seems to be following the exact same pattern: Big initial spike followed by rapid sell-off. And even down here, I wouldn't be a buyer. It's just way too risky," the "Mad Money" host says.

CNBC's Jim Cramer revealed Monday that he has a "hard pass" on newly-public Luckin Coffee LK .

That's because initial public offerings of Chinese-owned companies have brought too much pain, he said. Luckin, the Beijing-based chain that wants to surpass Starbucks SBUX as the biggest coffee chain in that country, surged as much as 50% after opening at $25 on Friday .

The stock ended Monday's session under $19 per share.

"Unless we're talking about a terrific company with a tried-and-true track record, you need to be very careful about Chinese IPOs because this cohort has been very tough to own," the "Mad Money" host said.

Of the 31 Chinese IPOs that listed on U.S. markets for the first time in 2018, 21 of those stocks are below where their deals priced, Cramer said. Two dozen of the companies have lost money from their first trade, he added.

Furthermore, the group, on average, is down 22% from their first trades, he continued.

"Those are terrible odds, people. And the Chinese IPOs from the class of 2019 have fared even worse," Cramer said. "Luckin Coffee seems to be following the exact same pattern: Big initial spike followed by rapid sell-off. And even down here, I wouldn't be a buyer. It's just way too risky."

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Investors should be wary of claims that China will foot the bill for higher tariffs, Cramer said. Rather, those costs will fall on American consumers, and investors should adjust their portfolios accordingly.

"As long as President [Donald] Trump believes that the Chinese are the ones who pay the price, he's going to keep taking a hard-line approach to these negotiations, and that means your portfolio should have as little exposure to China as possible," he said.

Portfolio managers have found the market to be a tough place to shop for stocks as Wall Street sorts out the safe names and reassess earnings forecasts for companies affected by the U.S.-China trade war, Cramer said. He also warned that current uncertainty will be the "new normal" until the world's two largest economies come to some sort of agreement.