CEO optimism nears all-time highs: survey

Construction workers are pictured on the northeast cables of the George Washington Bridge, which is undergoing a multi-year reconstruction in New York City, New York, U.S., March 30, 2021. REUTERS/Mike Segar
Construction workers are pictured on the northeast cables of the George Washington Bridge, which is undergoing a multi-year reconstruction in New York City, New York, U.S., March 30, 2021. REUTERS/Mike Segar · Mike Segar / reuters

CEO optimism is nearing record highs, according to Business Roundtable’s quarterly CEO economic outlook survey released on Tuesday. The group's economic outlook index increased in the second quarter to 116 — up nine points from the first quarter and just two points below the all-time high in early 2018.

“CEO optimism near historic highs, particularly with record hiring plans, is a strong sign that we are climbing out of this unprecedented crisis," said Doug McMillon, Walmart CEO and Business Roundtable Chairman.

"By continuing to encourage more Americans to get vaccinated, we can ensure a continued safe reopening in the short term, and a stronger and more equitable economy in the long term," he added.

This is the latest evidence that executives feel the U.S. economy is getting back on track after the pandemic. A recent survey from The Conference Board also found CEO confidence was at its highest level since 1976.

The Business Roundtable index showed the executives’ plans for hiring, capital investment and sales all increased in the second quarter — with plans for hiring over the next six months reaching historically high levels.

Sixty percent of CEOs said they planned to increase hiring over the next six months, compared to 51% in the first quarter. Of the CEOs surveyed, 59% said they expect to increase capital investment over the next six months — up from 57% in the previous quarter. Ninety-one percent of executives said they expect sales to increase over the same time period, up from 87% in the first quarter. The group surveyed 172 CEOs between May 25 and June 9, 2021.

CEO optimism is nearing record highs, according to Business Roundtable’s quarterly CEO economic outlook survey.
CEO optimism is nearing record highs, according to Business Roundtable’s quarterly CEO economic outlook survey. · Business Roundtable

Joshua Bolten, Business Roundtable CEO and president, told reporters some member CEOs are having difficulties finding workers — primarily in lower wage roles in a variety of industries.

"We're not long-term pessimistic about the situation," said Bolten, noting school reopenings in the fall, declining safety concerns about the risk of COVID-19 and the expiration of enhanced unemployment benefits in September should lead to more people getting back to work.

Gregory Hayes, Raytheon Technologies Corporation Chairman and CEO and Business Roundtable Tax and Fiscal Policy Committee Chair, told reporters Raytheon is not seeing a problem finding workers, but he is concerned about the rising prices of raw materials.

"The hope of the Fed is that this is transitory. The question is, how long is transitory? Is it six months? Is it 12 months?," said Hayes. "We're starting to see that pressure out there. We hope that the Fed is right and the Fed will take whatever action is necessary to cut this off before it really does become an inflationary spiral."