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Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.
So, the natural question for New Age Exploration (ASX:NAE) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.
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How Long Is New Age Exploration's Cash Runway?
A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. When New Age Exploration last reported its balance sheet in December 2019, it had zero debt and cash worth AU$719k. Importantly, its cash burn was AU$1.1m over the trailing twelve months. So it had a cash runway of approximately 8 months from December 2019. That's quite a short cash runway, indicating the company must either reduce its annual cash burn or replenish its cash. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.
How Is New Age Exploration's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?
While New Age Exploration did record statutory revenue of AU$72k over the last year, it didn't have any revenue from operations. To us, that makes it a pre-revenue company, so we'll look to its cash burn trajectory as an assessment of its cash burn situation. As it happens, the company's cash burn reduced by 10% over the last year, which suggests that management may be mindful of the risks of their depleting cash reserves. New Age Exploration makes us a little nervous due to its lack of substantial operating revenue. So we'd generally prefer stocks from this list of stocks that have analysts forecasting growth.
How Easily Can New Age Exploration Raise Cash?
Even though it has reduced its cash burn recently, shareholders should still consider how easy it would be for New Age Exploration to raise more cash in the future. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash to fund growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.